Prophecy: 1: Support (Logi) Frigates- I think everyone will want to test out the combat ability of the new support frigs, and see if they are over/under powered. It would be a good idea to start producing/buying these up now while their demand is still low, and sell them on patch day. I see no reason most players wouldn't want to pay 2-3M for a ship like this, whereas the build cost is in the low hundreds of thousands.
Jita Actuality:
The Bantam peaked around 300K, now 100K, at prediction: 120K
Inquisitor 750K, now 400K, at prediction:550K
Navitas 300K, now 100K. at prediction: 150K
Burst 250K, now 100K, at prediction: 190K
Result: Although there was an appreciation in the cost of these ships, I overestimated the demand (or perhaps underestimated the supply).
Prophecy 2: Combat & Disruption Frigates: These too will be buffed, and while I don't think their demand will meet that of the support (logi) frigs, I think most people will want to test out what they can do. I wouldn't be surprised to see them go for 2-3X build cost on patch day.
Jita Actuality:
Crucifier peaked 420K, now sells for a little under 350K, at prediction: 380K
Griffin 600K, now 400K, at prediction: 400K
Maulus 500K, now 400K, at prediction: 400K
Vigil hasn't moved, and is still at 400K, where it was 3 months ago, and every point since.
Result: Once again, the appreciation was overestimated.
Prophecy 3: Combat, Disruption, & Attack Cruisers: I would stick with the cruisers that now suck, and will receive a nice buff due to the patch, as their demand will greatly increase, all at once, causing for a spike in price.
Jita Actuality: I will skip the Caracal, Rupture, Arbitrator, and Blackbird, (a couple others could be added here,as I believe these were used fairly heavily, prepatch (and my prediction does state those cruisers that now suck). How did we do?
Maller: peak: 18M, now 12M, at prediction: 12M
Moa: peak 14M, now 12.5M, at prediction: 11M
Vexor:peak 10M, now 9.5M, at prediction: 7.5M
Omen: peak: 11M, now 10M, at prediction: 8.75M
Thorax: peak: 15M, now 13M, at prediction: 11M
Stabber: peak 9.5M, now 9.5M, at prediction: 7.75M
Celestis:peaK: 9.25M, now 7.75M, at prediction: 7.5M
Bellicose: peak: 8.5M, now, 7M, at prediction 7M
Result: These cruisers maxed out a bit more than I thought. However, prices have mostly fallen near prediction levels, so if you weren't able to sell near the highs, you at least broke even.
Prophecy 4: Support Cruisers: These might not grab the same attention as the new logi frigs, mostly because they already exist, but I do believe they see use after the patch, extensively if they prove to be near on-par with their tech-2 varients, as I suspect.
Jita Actuality:
Augoror: Peak: 8M, now 6M, at prediction 6M
Osprey: Peak 7M, now 5.5M, at prediction 5.5M
Exequror: Peak 7.5M, now: 5.5M, at prediction: 6M
Scythe: Peak 7M, now, 5.75M, at prediciton: 6M
Result: While I do see a fair amount of these flying around, and they are more impressive than I was expecting, their price rise wasn't all out amazing.
Prophecy 5: Small/medium remote reps (shield and armor, as well as energy xfer): For every new support frig and cruiser, I would assume 2-4 reps will be needed per ship. With that kind of demand, all at once, I would assume the price of these will sky rocket.
Jita Actuality:
Small meta 4 shield xfer: (s95): peak 400K, now 100K, at prediction 200K
Small t2 shield xfer: peak 1.2M, now 900K, at prediction 1.2M
Medium Meta 4 shield xfer (s95): peak 750K, now 450K, at prediction 200K
Medium t2 shield xfer: peak: 850K now: 500K, at prediction 400K
Small Meta 4 Energy Xfer (Regard): peak: 111K, now: 8K, at prediction: 26K
Small t2 Energy Xfer: has remained fairly stead around 500K
Medium Meta 4 Energy Xfer: peak: 1.1M, now: 200K, at prediction: 50K
Medium T2 Energy Xfer: peak: 4.5M, now 3M, at prediction: 725K
Small meta 4 armor rep (Solace) peak: 550K, now 280K, at prediction: 240K
small t2 armor rep: Peak: 2.6M Now: 1.7M: at prediction: 1.4M
Medium meta 4 armor rep (Solace): Peak: 3M, now: 2.2M, at prediction: 850K
Medium T2 armor rep: Peak: 5M, now: 2.6M, at prediction: 1.9M
Result: I really hit this one out of the park.
Prophecy 6: Drone Damage Amplifier mod: While I don't expect a skyrocket out of this item, you can expect a nice price appreciation, both initially (as many of the newly remade ships will be using drones), and over time, as the mod is getting a buff.
Jita Actuality:
Drone Damage Amp 2: Peak: 2.2M, now: 1.3M, at prediction: 750K
Result: These actually shot up much more than expected, but we'll take price appreciation wherever we can get it.
Overall Lesson Learned: While the most obvious items had the least price appreciation (ships), the somewhat less obvious ones (mods that those ships will use) had very nice price appreciation. In either case, both were ISK making opportunities, and I hope everyone of ya'll made at least 10% on their ISKies this retribution.
